The Yield Curve Is Inverted—but There’s No Recession. What Gives?
The economist Robert Solow, who died in December, once said that everything reminded Milton Friedman, his fellow Nobel ...
Weekly Treasury Simulation, Feb. 7, 2024: 2-Year/10-Year Spread Narrows To 0.20%
Treasury 2-year yields moved to 4.29% this week from 4.22% last week. At 10 years, this week’s yield is 4.49%, compared with ...
JD Supra1mon
What the Yield Curve Inversion and the Sahm Rule Signal: Key Implications for Company Valuations
When investors anticipate a slowing economy, they often demand higher returns on longer-term bonds, leading to an inverted yield curve. Historically, these inversions have frequently preceded ...
A More Commodious Curve
Through 2023 and 2024, the spread between bond yields and cash rates was persistently and sometimes deeply negative. Read ...
Forbes11mon
U.S. Recession Risk May Be Rising According To These Metrics
That would mirror the verdict of the inverted yield curve which has suggested a U.S. recession is more likely than not for the past 2 years. The Sahm rule forecasts recessions based on a 0.5% rise ...
CBS News6d
What are today's CD interest rates?
The phenomenon is called the inverted yield curve. "This means rates are highest for short term CDs and treasuries and actually are lower as you go out further in time," says Donald F. Dempsey ...