When the treasury bond yield curve inverts (and remains inverted for some time), the likelihood of the economy slipping into recession is high. A yield curve is a graph on which bonds are ...

The event – commonly dubbed a yield curve inversion – was largely viewed as a signal the U.S. economy would likely slip into recession in the near future. An inverted yield curve occurs when ...

The economist Robert Solow, who died in December, once said that everything reminded Milton Friedman, his fellow Nobel ...

Since the 1970s, every U.S. recession has been preceded by an inverted yield curve. The end of the inversion came in response ...

High short-term interest rates could mean that the yield curve remains inverted for some time. If that happens, then the recession debate too, may go on for many more months.

The bond market shows unusual bear steepening, where long-term yields rise faster than short-term. Learn how investors should ...

an inverted yield curve — that is, when short-term Treasury yields exceed the yield on longer-term government bonds — has preceded as US recession. Dating back to 1968, the indicator's ...

That would mirror the verdict of the inverted yield curve which has suggested a U.S. recession is more likely than not for the past 2 years. The Sahm rule forecasts recessions based on a 0.5% rise ...

The inverted Treasury yield curve is hitting extreme new levels. But paradoxically, it may be suggesting that investors are both more worried about a recession and less worried. WSJ’s Dion ...

WSJ’s Dion Rabouin explains why an inverted yield curve can be so reliable in predicting recession and why market watchers are talking about it now. Illustration: Ryan Trefes Dion Rabouin breaks ...

If the curve remains inverted for long enough, it could cause a credit crunch and recession. Stocks move most on the gap between expectations and reality. Reading the yield curve correctly can ...