The economist Robert Solow, who died in December, once said that everything reminded Milton Friedman, his fellow Nobel ...

The U.S. is facing strong recession signals, with Deutsche Bank identifying four key indicators: rapidly rising interest ...

Through 2023 and 2024, the spread between bond yields and cash rates was persistently and sometimes deeply negative. Read ...

Our weekly simulation for Gilt yields. Read the latest update, as of January 31, 2025. Read the full report on Seeking Alpha.

When investors anticipate a slowing economy, they often demand higher returns on longer-term bonds, leading to an inverted yield curve. Historically, these inversions have frequently preceded ...

The yield curve un-inverted, a rare signal historically linked to market crashes like 1929, 2000, and 2008. Rising bond yields challenge stocks by increasing borrowing costs, compressing ...

As a result, the yield curve for US Treasuries became inverted, meaning short term maturity rates generated a higher yield than longer term ones. This often signals fears of a pending recession ...

Traders say that abundant supply of short-term debt was a factor keeping the U.S. Treasury yield curve inverted for longer than is usual, from around July 2022 to September, which is now being ...