It is simply a long-term treasury ETF with a portfolio of yield curve flatteners. While curve flattening tend to be associated with deflation , that does not have to be the case.

For decades, extended inversions of the yield curve — when yields on short-term Treasurys surpassed those of long-term ones — have been considered harbingers of recessions. Now, it might seem ...

That’s the situation we’re in now. And we’ve had similar setups in 1989, 2000, 2006 and 2019. In other words, right before the recessions of 1990, 2001, 2007 and 2020.

Hatzius looks at the inverted yield curve and converts it to a ‘probability of recession’ statistic, following in the footsteps of “A Current Issues” publication from the Federal Reserve ...

The Long-Inverted Yield Curve Just "Uninverted," but That's Not Necessarily a Good Thing. By James Brumley – Aug 11, 2024 at 3:31AM Key Points. The yield curve on ...

On June 30, 2023, the 10-year Treasury’s 3.81% yield, for example, was 106 basis points less than the two-year Treasury’s 4.87%, meaning the typically upward slope of the yield curve was inverted.

Driving the deterioration in risk appetite is the surge in global bond yields, especially U.S. market-based borrowing costs as the long end of the Treasury curve came under intense selling pressure.

John Luke Tyner, fixed income analyst at Aptus Capital Advisors, discusses yield curve inversion with Bond Buyer Managing Editor Gary Siegel. Tyner looks at recession possibilities and how the ...

TLT still has a yield of around 3.5%, which, using that rule of thumb, would put a covered call yield at around 14%. And that's using the same scale applies, which may not be the case.

The rehabilitation of West Africa’s bond markets hinges on establishing a long-term yield curve, according to Bryan Pascoe, Chief Executive-International Capital Market Association (ICMA ...

Yes, the same yield curve (I'm talking the 2-year Treasury yield minus the 10-year yield) that first inverted in 2022, was a precursor to the stock market's collapse later that year, and was ...

For premium support please call: 800-290-4726 more ways to reach us. Sign in. Mail. ... Except the uninversion of the long-inverted yield curve isn't quite what it seems to be on the surface.