Confidence is growing that a more active than average Atlantic hurricane season is about to begin in just over a week. NOAA is now forecasting a 6-in-10 chance of an above-average hurricane season.By The Numbers: NOAA expects 13 to 19 storms to form in 2025,

Staring down another above-average hurricane season, America’s weather forecasting and disaster response agencies are more hollowed out than ever before – and that could leave tens of millions of Americans more vulnerable to these massive storms.

A new NOAA report predicts an active Atlantic hurricane season, though global weather patterns could still shift predictions.

With hurricane season only weeks away, federal budget cuts have left key Florida weather offices understaffed, and former employees worry that additional proposed reductions to staff and research could compromise not only accurate forecasts but potentially public safety.

Aurora, a foundation model developed by researchers from Microsoft, the University of Pennsylvania (UPenn), and several other institutions, is designed to improve the speed and accuracy of Earth system forecasts, from air quality and ocean waves to tropical cyclone tracks and high-resolution weather.