It is simply a long-term treasury ETF with a portfolio of yield curve flatteners. While curve flattening tend to be associated with deflation , that does not have to be the case.

For decades, extended inversions of the yield curve — when yields on short-term Treasurys surpassed those of long-term ones — have been considered harbingers of recessions. Now, it might seem ...

The Long-Inverted Yield Curve Just "Uninverted," but That's Not Necessarily a Good Thing. By James Brumley – Aug 11, 2024 at 3:31AM Key Points. The yield curve on ...

Out of the six recessions the U.S. has faced since 1980, five were preceded by a yield-curve inversion of at least 20 days. The sixth, the 2020 downturn that resulted from Covid-19, also followed ...

That’s the situation we’re in now. And we’ve had similar setups in 1989, 2000, 2006 and 2019. In other words, right before the recessions of 1990, 2001, 2007 and 2020.

On June 30, 2023, the 10-year Treasury’s 3.81% yield, for example, was 106 basis points less than the two-year Treasury’s 4.87%, meaning the typically upward slope of the yield curve was inverted.

TLT still has a yield of around 3.5%, which, using that rule of thumb, would put a covered call yield at around 14%. And that's using the same scale applies, which may not be the case.

An inverted yield curve is a visual representation of the performance of long-term securities versus short-term securities. Read on to understand what that really means.

There is an economic indicator that has predicted every recession since 1969, and it is flashing red right now. It's called the yield curve. But this time, it might be wrong.

John Luke Tyner, fixed income analyst at Aptus Capital Advisors, discusses yield curve inversion with Bond Buyer Managing Editor Gary Siegel. Tyner looks at recession possibilities and how the ...

The rehabilitation of West Africa’s bond markets hinges on establishing a long-term yield curve, according to Bryan Pascoe, Chief Executive-International Capital Market Association (ICMA ...

For premium support please call: 800-290-4726 more ways to reach us. Sign in. Mail. ... Except the uninversion of the long-inverted yield curve isn't quite what it seems to be on the surface.