Note in this chart that, for over forty years, the recessions come after the 3Mo/10Yr yield curve has resolved so that long money resumes its rightful position yielding a higher rate: Obviously ...

The yield curve has inverted, and history suggests that a recession could be approaching. In this video, I explain why an inverted yield curve has accurately predicted every recession since the 1980s.

has a long track record of occurring before recessions. Edited by Matthew Stuart More from Markets Business Insider reader Jim Laird created this animated chart tracking Treasury yield curves ...

That’s the highest estimate since the early 1980s, when a recession hit, and recessions have followed far lower levels of yield curve inversion. The model has a robust track record in calling ...

The Treasury Yield Curve Can Reliably Predict Recessions. Here’s Why. An inversion of the U.S. Treasury yield curve has been seen as a recession warning sign for decades, and it looks like it ...

However, an inverted yield curve (see chart below) has preceded each of the past six recessions (see gray bars) often with a delay of more than one year between the inversion ending and the start ...

which shows this historical relationship compared to recessions. As evidenced by this chart, the RTSR has been an excellent real-time recession indicator. When both the yield curve inverts and the ...

The yield curve has preceded most US recessions since World War II, giving it a reputation as a reliable leading economic indicator. Fisher Investments agrees it is useful, yet many misinterpret ...

Well, one indicator that has a perfect record of predicting recessions is creeping ... Slok circulated the following chart, showing that the yield curve is close to "inverting," meaning that ...

When the blue line drops below the horizontal black line, the yield curve is inverted. Periods shaded gray represent economic recessions. The yield offered by 10-year bonds has almost always been ...