The yield curve has inverted, and history suggests that a recession could be approaching. In this video, I explain why an inverted yield curve has accurately predicted every recession since the 1980s.

Note in this chart that, for over forty years, the recessions come after the 3Mo/10Yr yield curve has resolved so that long money resumes its rightful position yielding a higher rate: Obviously ...

Economic indicators suggest a potential recession, with caution in equity investing despite short-term optimism.

which shows this historical relationship compared to recessions. As evidenced by this chart, the RTSR has been an excellent real-time recession indicator. When both the yield curve inverts and the ...

Gundlach spent much time discussing December's big yield curve steepening - when rates ... other disasters make owning a home riskier? The chart Stock prices used to be a leading indicator for ...

Against the crowd, Rastani foresaw a positive result for Bitcoin depending on technical indicators, including a positive MACD crossover on the two-week chart ... economic recessions have been preceded ...

Adding to investor unease is a steepening yield curve, which has historically preceded recessions. With the Consumer Price Index ... Duration exploded during the tech and housing bubbles chart. Source ...

Canadian homebuilders got some reprieve Monday when Justin Trudeau announced there would be a 30-day pause on tariffs, but the possibility of a trade war with the U.S. continues to threaten a blow ...

In fact, recessions increase investors' risk aversion ... a stock decline how deep or long-lasting it might prove. An inverted yield curve has historically been the most reliable recession ...

The bond market had a split reaction on Monday to President Donald Trump’s weekend announcement of tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China, with short-term yields rising and longer-term rates sinkin ...