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This yield curve-fueled recession indicator from the Fed shows a 70% probability of a downturn. Here’s what its author says.One model used at the Fed was written in 2006 ... Right now, that indicator points to a 70% probability of a recession. It should be noted, however, that this recession indicator has flashed ...
In prepared remarks to the Economic Club of Chicago, Federal Reserve Chair Powell reiterated that tariffs are "significantly ...
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