The Federal Reserve wanted to sit back and monitor how an economy where inflation already was elevated would respond to ...

To balance both goals, the U.S. central bank shapes monetary policy by adjusting the target range on a benchmark interest rate, known as the federal funds ... The stock market could rise or ...

With stocks in a steep decline and tariffs inducing recession jitters, the patience of investors may be tested.

By mid-2027, our forecast is 125 basis points below the federal-funds rate implied by futures markets. We think the market is projecting a terminal rate that’s too high, reflecting an ...

The Federal ... funds rate three times this year, or a total of three-quarters of a percentage point, according to Pantheon Macroeconomics. "But with economic policy uncertainty elevated, stock ...

In the wake of President Donald Trump’s tariff rollout last week, trillions of dollars have been erased from stock markets, Wall Street deal-making has seized up, hedge funds have liquidated some of ...

Before the Great Recession, the market-driven “effective” federal funds rate averaged 6.38 percent.

Traders in the federal-funds futures market were pricing in a potential interest-rate cut from the Federal Reserve in June, as they parsed fresh data Friday on U.S. employment in March. Fed-funds ...

The Fed's view of how Trump's trade, immigration, and other policies could impact the economy — and inflation and the labor market in particular ... see the fed funds rate falling to 3.9 ...

Bonds have been selling off over the past few days, signaling deep fissures in the economy and financial markets.