We have cut our global growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026 in April’s update, reflecting the issues above. In our base case, we ...

We find that a regulatory freeze would reduce the federal deficit by $1.1 trillion over the 2025–2034 budget window and $1.4 trillion over the 2026–2035 budget window. Top line budgetary results are ...

For decades, economic growth and stock market expansion moved in tandem with job creation. When businesses thrived, they ...

Several investment banks have moved to slash China's growth forecasts this year, with most doubting Beijing can achieve the ...

The continuation of current trade policies will likely produce a worldwide recession, and even if Mr. Trump’s policies ...

In February 2025, the AIER Business Conditions Monthly indicators painted a picture of a moderately slowing but still resilient US economy.

Governor Tiff Macklem said the central bank hit pause to give itself time to assess the fallout from Trump’s erratic and ...

GDP at constant prices, also known as real GDP, is a measure of GDP that adjusts ... based on changing economic conditions, exchange rate dynamics and international financial flows.

Growth projections for 2025 see output growth moderating to 4.3% due to a larger fiscal adjustment, reduced momentum in the extractives sector, stubborn inflation, and elevated interest rates ... with ...

GDP growth beat expectations, underpinned by solid consumption and industrial output even as policymakers brace for the ...

U.S. manufacturing production rose moderately in March and could decelerate further amid President Donald Trump's global ...