The current account deficit is draining $100B monthly from the private domestic sector, reducing financial balances despite ...

That said, there is another major reason to be concerned about the slowing economy side of the stagflation equation ... On top of that, the yield curve is inverted, which often serves as a ...

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The U.S. Treasury yield curve, one of the most reliable signals of recession, is flashing red again. As of March 2025, the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields remains inverted ...

meaning the typically upward slope of the yield curve was inverted. While this period of inversion lasted more than two years, it has since reversed: On Feb. 28, 2025, the 10-year Treasury’s 4. ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve, one of the most reliable signals of recession, is flashing red again. As of March 2025, the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields remains inverted ...

The 30-year exceeded the five-year Treasury yield by more than 63 basis points, the widest gap since early 2022. The spread continued to widen as five-year yields led the retreat, aided by block ...

the Trump administration’s late-Wednesday announcement of a 25% tariff on foreign-made cars next month saw the 30-year Treasury yield reach 4.75%, the highest level since Feb. 20.

Bond investors are driving a wedge into the Treasury market in anticipation of slower economic growth and faster inflation, spurring demand for shorter-term Treasuries at ever-lower yields while ...