So yield curves usually slope upward ... point of Fed rate reductions over the rest of 2024. You can calculate a curve ...

The most likely range for 3-month bill yields edged into the 1% to 2% range, just 1 basis point more likely than the 0% to 1% ...

Calculate the one-year forward rate ... this exercise for all maturities and you have the one-year forward yield curve. The yield curve graph is usually yield (y-axis) against maturity (x-axis).

Titled “the yield curve and predicting recessions,” the ... The blog Political Calculations joked that a triple top was forming in the indicator. Jonathan Wright, the 2006 paper’s author ...

The yield curve has preceded most US recessions since World War II, giving it a reputation as a reliable leading economic indicator. Fisher Investments agrees it is useful, yet many misinterpret ...

It was last week's surge in long-term Treasury yields -- the rate on the 30-year T-bond saw its biggest weekly jump since ...

President Trump's tariff shock that drove a sharp selloff in long-duration Treasurys has pushed a closely followed plot along ...

US Treasuries pared their weekly advance in a low-volume, holiday-shortened session Thursday, with long-maturity yields ...

The event – commonly dubbed a yield curve inversion – was largely viewed as a signal the U.S. economy would likely slip into recession in the near future. An inverted yield curve occurs when ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve, one of the most reliable signals of recession, is flashing red again. As of March 2025, the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields remains inverted ...

The 30-year exceeded the five-year Treasury yield by more than 63 basis points, the widest gap since early 2022. The spread continued to widen as five-year yields led the retreat, aided by block ...