President Trump's tariff shock that drove a sharp selloff in long-duration Treasurys has pushed a closely followed plot along ...

When the treasury bond yield curve inverts (and remains inverted for some time), the likelihood of the economy slipping into recession is high. A yield curve is a graph on which bonds are ...

The curve’s slope historically has foretold the future. A positive tilt is associated with an economy likely to expand, as it ...

Treasury yield rose to 4.49% on Friday, back where it had been on February 20. It has snapped back by 50 bps from the recent ...

As recession signals flash across traditional markets, crypto faces rising volatility—but not necessarily a crash.

But yield curves can invert when investors expect a recession resulting from the Federal Reserve policy lifting interest ...

The event – commonly dubbed a yield curve inversion – was largely viewed as a signal the U.S. economy would likely slip into recession in the near future. An inverted yield curve occurs when ...

It “inverts” when short rates top long rates. That inversion typically precedes recessions. Yield curve proponents say inversion is bad because it means investors are risk-averse, making ...

The inverted Treasury yield curve is hitting extreme new levels. But paradoxically, it may be suggesting that investors are both more worried about a recession and less worried. WSJ’s Dion ...

Treasury yields determine how much you earn on government-backed securities. Learn more about Treasury yields in this guide.

The likelihood of a debt crisis is rising, bankruptcies are skyrocketing, and the yield curve has inverted. Read how ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve, one of the most reliable signals of recession, is flashing red again. As of March 2025, the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields remains inverted ...