The yield curve has inverted, and history suggests that a recession could be approaching. In this video, I explain why an inverted yield curve has accurately predicted every recession since the 1980s.

Note in this chart that, for over forty years, the recessions come after the 3Mo/10Yr yield curve has resolved so that long money resumes its rightful position yielding a higher rate: Obviously ...

which shows this historical relationship compared to recessions. As evidenced by this chart, the RTSR has been an excellent real-time recession indicator. When both the yield curve inverts and the ...

In this post, I will begin by looking at movements in treasury rates, across maturities, during 2024, and the resultant ...

Gundlach spent much time discussing December's big yield curve steepening - when rates ... other disasters make owning a home riskier? The chart Stock prices used to be a leading indicator for ...

Against the crowd, Rastani foresaw a positive result for Bitcoin depending on technical indicators, including a positive MACD crossover on the two-week chart ... economic recessions have been preceded ...

Adding to investor unease is a steepening yield curve, which has historically preceded recessions. With the Consumer Price Index ... Duration exploded during the tech and housing bubbles chart. Source ...

Canadian homebuilders got some reprieve Monday when Justin Trudeau announced there would be a 30-day pause on tariffs, but the possibility of a trade war with the U.S. continues to threaten a blow ...

In fact, recessions increase investors' risk aversion ... a stock decline how deep or long-lasting it might prove. An inverted yield curve has historically been the most reliable recession ...

For more than two years, the stock market has been virtually unstoppable. Last year, the iconic Dow Jones Industrial Average ...